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2025, Vol: 3, Issue: 1
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Original Research 


Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm

Muhammad Idris Ibrahim, Ibrahim Idris Enagi, Abubakar Muhammad Shaba, Muhammad Muhammad Idris, T.a. Jimoh.


Abstract
One of the most important metrics for measuring economic progress is energy production. This is because any nation's social and economic progress depends heavily on its ability to provide a stable and constant supply of electricity. This study is contributing by employing an intelligent algorithm for the energy generation forecast of Jebba hydroelectric power station in Nigeria. A robust programming was performed with MATLAB software to develop an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model using the feed forward back propagation (FFBP) algorithm. The ANN was employed to surmount the present challenges of lack of reliable forecast tools for power generation that could asset in yielding proper management policies of the power station. Thus, the whole data set which comprises of three hundred and twenty four monthly averages were divided into two categories: 70% training and 30% for validation purposes in order to obtain the optimum topology for network. Base on the results modelling, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value of 5.0430 and 0.02600 were obtained for the classical neural network and the intelligent algorithm for both training and validation data sets with high regression coefficient (R2) of 0.68046. Therefore, the outcome of the results highlight that the proposed model outperformed the classical neural network models, which proves that the model was reliable and could be used for prediction at a 95% confidence level.

Key words: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Hydro power plant, Feed forward back propaga-tion (FFBP), Prediction


 
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How to Cite this Article
Pubmed Style

Ibrahim MI, Enagi II, Shaba AM, Idris MM, Jimoh T. Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm. NJEAS. 2023; 1(1): 0-0. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337

Web Style

Ibrahim MI, Enagi II, Shaba AM, Idris MM, Jimoh T. Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm. https://www.nilejeas.com/?mno=153337 [Access: June 27, 2026]. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337

AMA (American Medical Association) Style

Ibrahim MI, Enagi II, Shaba AM, Idris MM, Jimoh T. Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm. NJEAS. 2023; 1(1): 0-0. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337


Vancouver/ICMJE Style

Ibrahim MI, Enagi II, Shaba AM, Idris MM, Jimoh T. Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm. NJEAS. (2023), [cited June 27, 2026]; 1(1): 0-0. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337


Harvard Style

Ibrahim, M. I., Enagi, . I. I., Shaba, . A. M., Idris, . M. M. & Jimoh, . T. (2023) Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm. NJEAS, 1 (1), 0-0. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337


Turabian Style

Ibrahim, Muhammad Idris, Ibrahim Idris Enagi, Abubakar Muhammad Shaba, Muhammad Muhammad Idris, and T.a. Jimoh. 2023. Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm. Nile Journal of Engineering and Applied Science, 1 (1), 0-0. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337


Chicago Style

Ibrahim, Muhammad Idris, Ibrahim Idris Enagi, Abubakar Muhammad Shaba, Muhammad Muhammad Idris, and T.a. Jimoh. "Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm." Nile Journal of Engineering and Applied Science 1 (2023), 0-0. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337


MLA (The Modern Language Association) Style

Ibrahim, Muhammad Idris, Ibrahim Idris Enagi, Abubakar Muhammad Shaba, Muhammad Muhammad Idris, and T.a. Jimoh. "Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm." Nile Journal of Engineering and Applied Science 1.1 (2023), 0-0. Print. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337


APA (American Psychological Association) Style

Ibrahim, M. I., Enagi, . I. I., Shaba, . A. M., Idris, . M. M. & Jimoh, . T. (2023) Modelling and prediction of Future Energy Generation for Jebba Hydro Power Plant Station Using Intelligent Algorithm. Nile Journal of Engineering and Applied Science, 1 (1), 0-0. doi:10.5455/NJEAS.153337


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1. Prof. Abdulhameed Danjuma Mambo
   Editor-in-Chief
abdulhameed.mambo@nileuniversity.edu.ng
2. Dr. Adekunle Adeleke
    Associate Editor-in-Chief
    adekunle.adeleke@nileuniversity.edu.ng
3. Dr. Ifeyinwa Obianyo
Managing Editor
ifeyinwa.obianyo@nileuniversity.edu.ng